Here we go everyone! The home stretch! Only one more week until it's all over. In one more week, all the debates and controversies will be settled, and we can at last set 2017 behind us and focus on what's ahead of us in cinema. This has certainly been a strange time for the Academy, with categories where the frontrunner is unclear and sexual allegation scandals majorly influencing some top decisions in voting, let's look ahead to see what's most likely to win on Oscar night!
Now for this, I tried to stick with what the hype has been saying, even if it went against my impression of the nominees. I learned about a year ago the truth about how the Academy selects its winners, so I'm now going to do my best in predicting based on how the pattern's been like over the past several years, being cautious of any curveballs they could throw at us (hopefully nothing as embarrassing as last years'!
Who Will Win
Who Should Win
Best Short Film (Animated)
Obviously, Darkest Hour and The Post are at the dead bottom, which most everyone can agree upon. They are both the most bland examples of obvious Oscar-bait, which results in them each having very uninspired, historically inaccurate retelling's of the true stories that are one sided and ultimately forgetful. But unlike The Post, Darkest Hour has got maybe the best performance of the year with Gary Oldman as Mr. Churchill!
Get Out and Lady Bird have become favorites with several awards watchers, but honestly I think they're both just okay. Lady Bird just tells a very standard mother-daughter story that doesn't take very many creative risks, and the main character is severely unlikable. Get Out does accomplish the inevitable by turning the horror genre on its head and throwing us deep into the psychology of social injustice, but at the cost of having one dimensional White characters without any motivation.
Phantom Thread is a great effort too by the always terrific Paul Thomas Anderson, but there's not much morality to take away from it.
Then onto the true frontrunners, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri truly is an intelligent critique on the lack of social justice in America, and how it affects the true heart of those who are stereotyped. Every character is rich with emotion and it's easy to see a bit of yourself in each one. But it also has some amateurish decisions in its editing and cinematography that gave it a very low budget feel, which is why I'm not happy that it got nominated for Best Film Editing.
Dunkirk on the other hand is one of the greatest technical achievements I've seen this year, with such artistry in the sound and imagery that sucks you in to the fateful day of the soldiers at Dunkirk. I understand why some were shut off by its lack of character intimacy, but if you look a bit deeper into it, there is character development, it's just way more subtle and nontraditional, done mostly through actions rather than words. But like Phantom Thread, the moral takeaway isn't really there, unlike Call Me by Your Name. Now this was definitely a deeply personal experience. I'm not a homosexual, and like many would be normally shut off by watching what Americans would see as pedophilia, but there was so much turmoil and depression shown on the main character's part that it really touched me where it tried to grip me. It's a shame that it didn't get a nomination for Best Director!
Then finally, the one that's my personal favorite of 2017, my logistic pick for winning the big prize, and the one I think is the best of all the nominees: The Shape of Water. This movie's got everything: powerful acting, gorgeous visuals, a brilliant concept, easily identifiable characters, a desire to see good come out of it, layers upon layers of its symbolism, a call to action on society's current issues, fair treatment to all people involved, and to top it off: the sea creature is essentially a modern day figure for Jesus. I could go on and on about how amazing this movie is, but I'll just leave it by saying that this needs more people to see it! Don't be shut off by it's concept, there's a whole lot more to it than just a glamorization of bestiality, I guarantee there will be something about it that will speak to you deeply.
And that's basically all I have to say here. See you next week!